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	<title>Small Business Against Big Government &#187; Bailout</title>
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		<title>What is Big Government?</title>
		<link>http://www.sbabg.org/2011/12/13/what-is-big-government/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sbabg.org/2011/12/13/what-is-big-government/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2011 17:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Big Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corruption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Socialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Waste]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Welfare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[What is Big Government?]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nanny state]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tyranny]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sbabg.org/?p=485</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Big Government shouldn&#8217;t be confused with Government proper.  Government proper, limited in its power and scope to only those tasks which legitimately protect life, liberty, and property from fraud and criminality, is not Big Government.  It is the foundation of a free civilization.

Here are some definitions of Big Government from a few online dictionaries.
&#8220;Government perceived [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Big Government shouldn&#8217;t be confused with Government proper.  Government proper, limited in its power and scope to only those tasks which legitimately protect life, liberty, and property from fraud and criminality, is not Big Government.  It is the foundation of a free civilization.</strong><br />
<img class="alignright size-full wp-image-509" title="big-govt-article-image" src="http://www.sbabg.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/big-govt-article-image.gif" alt="big-govt-article-image" width="260" height="293" /></p>
<p>Here are some definitions of Big Government from a few online dictionaries.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8220;Government perceived as being excessively big-spending and attempting to control too many aspects of people&#8217;s lives.&#8221; <a title="MSN Encarta" href="http://encarta.msn.com/dictionary_1861733320/big_government.html">MSN Encarta</a></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8220;Government that seems to have too much control over people’s lives.&#8221; <a title="Macmillan" href="http://www.macmillandictionary.com/dictionary/british/big-government">Macmillan</a></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">&#8220;Any government wielding excessive control over its citizens or interfering with their lives.&#8221; <a title="Dictinoary.com" href="http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/big%20government">Dictionary.com</a></p>
<p>You see the themes &#8211; control, interference, wasteful, big-spending.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s true, of course, but we&#8217;d like to be a little more specific and thought-provoking in our definition.</p>
<p><strong>Big Government, in its most raw form, is a group of individuals that through coercion turns human beings into either beasts of burden or perpetual children.<br />
</strong></p>
<p>It is that group which <span id="more-485"></span>preaches entitlement over responsibility, dependency over self-sufficiency.  It  purports that people are incapable of caring for themselves through free and voluntary choices, and therefore must be coerced into &#8220;doing the right thing.&#8221; It prevents human beings from being fully actualized, keeps them in a form of subjection and &#8211; in its most extreme form &#8211; slavery.</p>
<p>Does it do this deliberately and willfully?  Not in the beginning.  Isabel Paterson, in her book The God of the Machine, said:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Most of the harm in the world is done by good people, and not by accident, lapse, or omission. It is the result of their deliberate actions, long persevered in, which they hold to be motivated by high ideals toward virtuous ends&#8230; &#8230;[W]hen millions are slaughtered, when torture is practiced, starvation enforced, oppression made a policy, as at present over a large part of the world, and as it has often been in the past, it must be at the behest of very many good people, and even by their direct action, for what they consider a worthy object.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Even the alleviation of suffering, so long as it is done through plundering third parties, will result in more total suffering induced than ever relieved.  The total amount of suffering in the world cannot be reduced by forcing one group of human beings to relieve it in the way the tyrant desires.  The tyrant&#8217;s coercion makes more of mankind miserable, turns them away from productive endeavors.  In its extreme forms, Big Government paradoxically <em>kills innocents</em> in order to <em>save lives</em>.</p>
<p><strong>Seen in this way, Big Government can either be a Tyrant or a Nanny, or a combination of both.  Either it enslaves you and <span>coercively</span> makes you work on its behalf, or it &#8220;protects&#8221; you from yourself, restricting your freedom while promising to care for your every need, in exchange for your agreement to keep it in power.</strong></p>
<p>Either way, it treats you as either an animal to be burdened, or a scolded child to be suckled forever at its teat.</p>
<p>How you are treated often depends on whether or not you are willing to keep the ruling cadre in power.  If you do, you may lose your freedom but win the privilege of being coddled.  If you don&#8217;t, you may lose your freedom and be burdened.</p>
<p>So Big Government divides people into two groups: one group is the animals burdened with the task of producing the mothers milk forever; the other is that group which forever &#8211; or so it&#8217;s promised &#8211; drinks the mothers milk.</p>
<p>Now, in pointing this out, we&#8217;re not talking about any <em>specific</em> group that is favored by government and eats from the labor of others, we&#8217;re talking about all such group, from bailed out banks and companies, to subsidized farmers, to protected unions, to groups that benefit from tariffs, to the ever-growing unproductive government bureaucracy; in short, any form of corporate or public dependency program.</p>
<p><strong>One of the central features of Big Government is that it encourages bad behavior in order to remain in power.  It bails out those who have made bad decisions in order to gain their support.</strong></p>
<p>The individuals that comprise Big Government, of course, play god, determining which group of human beings will be the beasts of burden, and which will be the bailed out, dependent children.</p>
<p>Over time, people learn that it does not pay to behave responsibly.  In fact, the consequences for poor judgment will be so lessened as to have no moral authority over behavior.  People learn that they can live life however irresponsibly they want and some one else will be forced to pick up the tab &#8230; that is, until there&#8217;s no one left with any money or productive resources.</p>
<p>At that point, the system collapses soviet-style.  The  beasts of burden decide that it&#8217;s easier to be suckled infants and then there are no longer enough producers to support the dependents.</p>
<p>One interesting phenomenon that we have noticed over the past decades is how Americans have behaved regarding debt and savings, and how the past decisions they made are now affecting them.</p>
<p>Look at what has happened in the U.S. over the last few decades.</p>
<p>This first graph shows the U.S. Savings rate (what percentage of their incomes Americans saved) over the past 50 years.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/images/2008/us_savings_rate_feb08image002.jpg"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/images/2008/us_savings_rate_feb08image002.jpg" alt="" width="539" height="323" /></a></p>
<p>Notice that, for whatever reason, over the last 30 years people have been putting less and less money away for a rainy day.</p>
<p>Now, look at this graph of household debt as a percentage of disposable income over the last 30 years.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/5-household-debt-as-a-percent-of-disposable-income.png"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/5-household-debt-as-a-percent-of-disposable-income.png" alt="" width="543" height="326" /></a></p>
<p>Despite saving less money, people are  using more borrowed money to support their lifestyles, especially over the last decade.</p>
<p><strong>Low savings rate + high and increasing debt load = people living beyond their means</strong></p>
<p>At some point, the gig is up.</p>
<p>Now, look at this graph of the number of food stamp recipients over the last decade.  In the decades prior to 2000, the number of food-stamp recipients had been trending down.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter" src="http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=teBafE2m93g97zK0MmUnSKQ&amp;oid=1&amp;output=image" alt="" width="450" height="320" /></p>
<address>(Data for graph found at <a href="http://www.fns.usda.gov/pd/snapmain.htm" target="_blank">U.S. Dept. of Agriculture</a> website &#8211; 2009 data estimated based on extrapolation of 2009 YTD data.)</address>
<address> </address>
<address> </address>
<p>So here&#8217;s the questions:</p>
<p>Are these events merely correlated or is there an element of causation?  That is, do government bailout promises encourage people to not take responsibility for their own lives, to prepare for &#8220;unforeseen&#8221; &#8211; yet predictable &#8211; misfortunes in the future?</p>
<p>Understand that we&#8217;re not arguing for or against this particular social program, just merely asking questions about whether or not <a href="http://www.sbabg.org/2009/08/26/the-power-of-language-how-to-expose-big-government-with-our-words/" target="_blank">Government Dependency Programs</a> create <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moral_hazard" target="_blank">Moral Hazard</a>.</p>
<p><strong>What do you think?  Do government handout programs  enable bad behavior?</strong></p>
<p><strong>Does the knowledge that someone will be there to give you food, coupled with the knowledge that the government has the capacity to forever force someone else to pay for your livelihood, make you take less responsibility for your own well being, live on borrowed money, not save for a rainy day?</strong></p>
<p>By asking these questions, of course we&#8217;re not advocating for letting the hungry starve.  We advocate for the support of voluntary charities, and lots of it, and we believe that each of us has a personal responsibility to <a href="http://mises.org/journals/jls/21_2/21_2_1.pdf" target="_blank"><em>responsibly</em> care for the poor</a> among us in ways that do not create dependency and thereby rob recipients of their dignity.</p>
<p><strong>If you reward bad behavior, you&#8217;ll get more of it.   If you punish responsible behavior, you&#8217;ll get less of it.</strong></p>
<p>Big Government must be opposed.  If we don&#8217;t oppose it immediately, over time in its most extreme forms it reduces people to animals or infants.</p>
<p>As <a id="m0dk" title="Cato's  Letter #38" href="http://classicliberal.tripod.com/cato/letter038.html" target="_blank">Cato&#8217;s  Letter #38</a> taught:<strong></strong></p>
<blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;What is government, but a trust &#8230; which ought to be bounded with many and strong restraints, because power renders men wanton, insolent to others, and fond of themselves.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>So what can you do?  <a href="http://www.downsizedc.org/"></a></p>
<p>Sign up for our <a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/SmallBusinessAgainstBigGovernment" target="_blank"> <span>RSS</span> feed</a> and become a fan of our <a href="http://www.facebook.com/sbabg" target="_blank"> <span>Facebook Page</span></a>. We&#8217;ll continually send you information about how you can help keep government in its place.</p>
<p>Then, <a href="http://www.downsizedc.org/">Join DownsizeDC.org</a> and participate in it&#8217;s campaigns.  It takes less than five minutes per day, and you just participate in the campaigns you like.  In our opinion, it is the best project around for reducing the size and scope of Big Government.</p>
<p>originally published May 21, 2010.</p>
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		<slash:comments>16</slash:comments>
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		<title>So Why No Economic Recovery?  Avaricious Government and Hesitant Entrepreneurs.</title>
		<link>http://www.sbabg.org/2010/06/18/so-why-no-economic-recovery-avaricious-government-and-hesitant-entrepreneurs/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sbabg.org/2010/06/18/so-why-no-economic-recovery-avaricious-government-and-hesitant-entrepreneurs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jun 2010 15:11:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Job Creation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Waste]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurship]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sbabg.org/?p=1116</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Federal Government&#8217;s wasteful spending, institutional meddling, and taxpayer plundering is giving us hesitant entrepreneurs.

Robust job  growth requires boldness and risk-taking in the private sector. What we  have now is boldness and risk-taking in the public sector. It is loading as much debt onto the balance sheet as possible, and creating the  [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="article_subtitle">The Federal Government&#8217;s wasteful spending, institutional meddling, and taxpayer plundering is giving us <a href="http://article.nationalreview.com/435756/spent/rich-lowry">hesitant entrepreneurs</a>.<br />
</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>Robust job  growth requires boldness and risk-taking in the private sector. What we  have now is boldness and risk-taking in the public sector. It is loading as much debt onto the balance sheet as possible, and creating the  predicate for more regulation, spending, and taxes. We have active  government and hesitant entrepreneurs.</span><br />
<span> </span><br />
<span>Late in the Great  Depression, Franklin Roosevelt’s Treasury secretary, Henry Morgenthau,  told Congress, “We are spending more than we have ever spent before and  it does not work.” Democrats have made Morgenthau’s plaint their  governing ethic. In so doing, they are demonstrating their political and intellectual <span id="IL_AD3" class="IL_AD">bankruptcy</span> even  faster than they are bankrupting the country.</span></p></blockquote>
<p>Spending money does not create wealth.  Spending money does not raise the standard of living.</p>
<p>But it lets politicians feel like they&#8217;re &#8220;doing something&#8221; and gives their fat egos a boost.  Also, spending money buys votes  &#8230; even if it&#8217;s at the expense of what will soon be a bankrupted citizenry.</p>
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		<title>A New Look at Cash for Clunkers Confirms what Stimulus Programs do &#8211; Nothing (but Harm)</title>
		<link>http://www.sbabg.org/2010/06/02/a-new-look-at-cash-for-clunkers-confirms-what-stimulus-programs-do-nothing-but-harm/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sbabg.org/2010/06/02/a-new-look-at-cash-for-clunkers-confirms-what-stimulus-programs-do-nothing-but-harm/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jun 2010 16:38:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Cronyism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Waste]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cash for clunkers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sbabg.org/2010/06/02/a-new-look-at-cash-for-clunkers-confirms-what-stimulus-programs-do-nothing-but-harm/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[From the Coyote Blog, see the graph below.  Stimulus funds just create purchases now that will be forgone later.  And they subsidize the purchases with tax funds or debt, basically transferring funds from one person to another for no good reason (other than buying votes, of course).
The dotted line simply averages the sales for the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From the <a href="http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2010/06/stimulus-was-a-clunker.html">Coyote Blog</a>, see the graph below.  Stimulus funds just create purchases now that will be forgone later.  And they subsidize the purchases with tax funds or debt, basically transferring funds from one person to another for no good reason (other than buying votes, of course).</p>
<blockquote><p>The dotted line simply averages the sales for the month of the clunkers  program and the month after.  I think it is pretty clear that we spent a few billion dollars making some used car owners happy (by overpaying  for their vehicles) but did absolutely nothing to move the trend line in auto sales, as the program appears to have just pulled forward  purchases rather than stimulated new ones.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/stimulus.gif"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-11330" title="stimulus" src="http://coyote-blog.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/stimulus-500x341.gif" alt="" width="500" height="341" /></a></p>
<p>Was this predictable?  Of course. In August 2009 when Cash for Clunkers was announced, <a href="http://www.sbabg.org/2009/08/03/cash-for-clunkers-is-a-modern-day-version-of-the-broken-window-fallacy/">we said</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>The funny thing is that down the road even the dealers will suffer, because this program created false demand and just kicked the can down the road so that the dealers could put off their day-of-reckoning a little longer.</p></blockquote>
<p>You can <a href="http://www.coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/2010/06/stimulus-was-a-clunker.html">read our full Aug 2009 analysis of Cash for Clunkers</a> and get educated on the Broken Window Fallacy that Government commits, daily.</p>
<p>Please <a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/SmallBusinessAgainstBigGovernment" target="_blank">subscribe to our RSS feed</a> and <a href="http://www.sbabg.org/2009/08/03/newsletter/">our newsletter</a>,  and <a href="http://www.facebook.com/sbabg" target="_blank">join our  Facebook group</a>.  We’ll warn you about future programs that promise  to help but inevitably harm.</p>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
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		<title>Small Business is now the &#8220;Most Trusted Institute&#8221; in America</title>
		<link>http://www.sbabg.org/2010/04/25/small-business-is-now-the-most-trusted-institute-in-america/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sbabg.org/2010/04/25/small-business-is-now-the-most-trusted-institute-in-america/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Apr 2010 13:45:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Big Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Cronyism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corruption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pew]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[polling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sbabg.org/?p=1054</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If America is to return to greatness, it will be on the backs of its small businesses.  Not just because we&#8217;re the most important job creators in the country, but because we&#8217;re also the most trusted group in America.
Be proud, small-business owners! You&#8217;re now the most trusted group in America. Listen up, federal government! You&#8217;re [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If America is to return to greatness, it will be on the backs of its small businesses.  Not just because we&#8217;re the most important job creators in the country, but because we&#8217;re also <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/money/smallbusiness/columnist/abrams/2010-04-23-small-business-pew-survey_N.htm">the most trusted group in America</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>Be proud, small-business owners! You&#8217;re now the most trusted group in America. Listen up, federal government! You&#8217;re neglecting small business — and most people think so.</p>
<p><strong>According to the just-released study by the highly respected Pew Research Center, small business is the most trusted institution in America. </strong>More than churches. More than colleges. More than technology companies. And certainly more than labor unions or large corporations.</p></blockquote>
<p>However, that little part of the federal government neglecting us . . . we can take care of ourselves, thanks.  Just stop giving away our money to your <a href="http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/12/fdic-to-back-139-billion-in-ge-capital-debt/?scp=2&amp;sq=general%20electric&amp;st=cse" target="_blank">corporate</a> <a href="http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/firstread/archive/2009/06/01/1949329.aspx" target="_blank">cronies</a>, <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/7832484.stm" target="_blank">your</a> <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/02/16/bear-stearns-bailout-expo_n_463391.html" target="_blank">dirty</a> <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122747680752551447.html" target="_blank">banksters</a>, <a href="http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2009/04/its-union-bailout-via-dictator-obama.html" target="_blank">your</a> <a href="http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/Another-Obama-favor-for-unions-90776984.html#ixzz0l6BFdrYI" target="_blank">union</a> <a href="http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2010/03/18/why_the_seiu_wants_health_reform_98387.html" target="_blank">thugs</a> and your <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_takeover_of_Fannie_Mae_and_Freddie_Mac" target="_blank">GSEs</a>.  And <em>get out of our way.</em></p>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
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		<title>Cash for Clunkers update &#8211; predicted failure now *fully* confirmed even more than previously</title>
		<link>http://www.sbabg.org/2010/03/23/cash-for-clunkers-update-predicted-failure-now-fully-confirmed-even-more-than-previously/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sbabg.org/2010/03/23/cash-for-clunkers-update-predicted-failure-now-fully-confirmed-even-more-than-previously/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Mar 2010 21:10:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Cronyism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Waste]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[broken window fallacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cash for clunkers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sbabg.org/?p=1010</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Not to toot our own horn, but, toot toot.
Graph from the American Thinker, Care Sales ($millions) Reported by Dealers.:



Cost to taxpayers for each extra car sold because  of Cash for Clunkers:   $20,000
Number  of clunkers turned in (and taken out of the market):  677,081
Price increase for used cars  since CfC:  13.7%
Change in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not to toot our own horn, but, <a href="http://www.sbabg.org/2009/08/03/cash-for-clunkers-is-a-modern-day-version-of-the-broken-window-fallacy/" target="_blank">toot toot</a>.</p>
<p>Graph from the American Thinker,<a href=" http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2010/03/graph_of_the_day_for_march_22.html" target="_blank"> Care Sales ($millions) Reported by Dealers.:</a></p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1013" title="cashclunkers" src="http://www.sbabg.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/cashclunkers1-300x204.png" alt="cashclunkers" width="300" height="204" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="file:///C:/DOCUME%7E1/DREX%7E1.SCR/LOCALS%7E1/Temp/moz-screenshot.png" alt="" /></p>
<blockquote>
<div><a href="http://www.edmunds.com/help/about/press/153566/article.html"><span style="font-family: times new roman,times; font-size: small;">Cost to taxpayers</span></a><span style="font-family: times new roman,times; font-size: small;"> for each extra car sold because  of <a style="font-weight: normal ! important; font-size: 100% ! important; text-decoration: none ! important; border-bottom: 1px dotted darkgreen ! important; padding-bottom: 0px ! important; color: darkgreen ! important; background-color: transparent ! important; background-image: none; padding-top: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-left: 0pt;" href="http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2010/03/graph_of_the_day_for_march_22.html#" target="_blank">Cash for Clunkers<img style="display: inline ! important; height: 10px; width: 10px; position: relative; top: 1px; left: 1px; padding: 0pt; margin: 0pt; float: none; border: 0pt none;" src="http://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/2_bing.gif" alt="" /></a>:   $20,000</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family: times new roman,times; font-size: small;">Number  of clunkers turned in (and taken out of the market):  677,081</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family: times new roman,times; font-size: small;">Price increase for used cars  since CfC:  13.7%</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family: times new roman,times; font-size: small;">Change in car sales from July 2009 to February  2010:  -0.6% </span></div>
</blockquote>
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		<title>Cash For Clunkers is a Modern-Day Version of the Broken Window Fallacy</title>
		<link>http://www.sbabg.org/2009/08/03/cash-for-clunkers-is-a-modern-day-version-of-the-broken-window-fallacy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sbabg.org/2009/08/03/cash-for-clunkers-is-a-modern-day-version-of-the-broken-window-fallacy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2009 13:35:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[broken window fallacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cash for clunkers]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Cash For Clunkers is an economically unsound program that will only make the American economic situation worse.  It transfers wealth from one group of people to another while simultaneously destroying real wealth and misallocating scarce capital away from its best use.
To understand why this is, you need only understand the Broken Window Fallacy.
Frederic Bastiat originally [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a id="e0-6" title="Cash For Clunkers" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cash_for_Clunkers" target="_blank">Cash For Clunkers</a> is an economically unsound program that will only make the American economic situation worse.  It transfers wealth from one group of people to another while simultaneously destroying real wealth and <span>misallocating</span> scarce capital away from its best use.</p>
<p>To understand why this is, you need only understand <a id="age0" title="the Broken Window Fallacy" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parable_of_the_broken_window" target="_blank">the Broken Window Fallacy</a>.</p>
<p><span id="more-307"></span><a id="kywv" title="Frederic Bastiat" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fr%C3%A9d%C3%A9ric_Bastiat" target="_blank">Frederic <span>Bastiat</span></a> <a id="wtps" title="originally formulated" href="http://bastiat.org/en/twisatwins.html#broken_window" target="_blank">originally formulated the Broken Window Fallacy</a> in his landmark book <span style="text-decoration: underline;"><a id="sw0x" title="That Which is Seen and That Which is Not Seen" href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/160096706X?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=dredav-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=390957&amp;creativeASIN=160096706X" target="_blank">That Which is Seen and That Which is Not Seen</a></span>.  Henry Hazlitt then expounded and reformulated it for a more modern audience in his classic work, <span style="text-decoration: underline;"><a id="zfje" title="Economics in One Lesson" href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0517548232?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=dredav-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=390957&amp;creativeASIN=0517548232" target="_blank">Economics in One Lesson</a></span> (which was <a id="l13t" title="one of our 31 top resources for small business owners and employees" href="../2009/07/28/knowledge-is-power-31-resources-that-make-all-the-difference/" target="_blank">one of our 31 top resources for small business owners and employees</a>).  In Chapter 2, entitled &#8220;The Broken Window,&#8221; Hazlitt wrote:</p>
<div style="margin-left: 40px;">
<p>A young hoodlum, say, heaves a brick through the window of a baker’s shop.  The shopkeeper runs out furious, but the boy is gone.  A crowd gathers, and begins to stare with quiet satisfaction at the gaping hole in the window and the shattered glass over the bread and pies.  After a while the crowd feels the need for philosophic reflection.  <strong>And several of its members are almost certain to remind each other or the baker that, after all, the misfortune has its bright side.  It will make business for some glazier.</strong> As they begin to think of this they elaborate upon it.  How much does a new plate glass window cost?  Two hundred and fifty dollars?  That will be quite a sun.  After all, if windows were never broken, what would happen to the glass business?  Then, of course, the thing is endless.  The glazier will have $250 more to spend with other merchants, and these in turn will have $250 more to spend with still other merchants, and so ad <span>infinitum</span>.  The smashed window will go on providing money and employment in ever-widening circles.  <strong>The logical conclusion from all this would be, if the crowd drew it, that the little hoodlum who threw the brick, far from being a public menace, was a public benefactor.</strong></p>
<p>Now let us take another look.   The crowd is at least right in its first conclusion.  This little act of vandalism will in the first instance mean more business for some glazier.  The glazier will be no more unhappy to learn of the incident than an undertaker to learn of a death.  But the shopkeeper will be out $250 that he was planning to spend for a new suit.  Because he has had to replace the window, he will have to go without the suit (or some equivalent need or luxury).  Instead of having a window and $250 he now has merely a window.  Or, as he was planning to buy the suit that very afternoon, instead of having both a window and a suit he must be content with the window and no suit.  <strong>If we think of him as part of the community, the community has lost a new suit that might otherwise have come into being, and is just that much poorer.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The glazier’s gain of business, in short, is merely the tailor’s loss of business.  No new “employment” has been added.  The people in the crowd were thinking only of two parties to the transaction, the baker and the glazier.  They had forgotten the potential third party involved, </strong>the tailor.  They forgot him precisely because he will not now enter the scene.  They will see the new window in the next day or two.  They will never see the extra suit, precisely because it will never be made.  They see only what is immediately visible to the eye.</div>
<p>The Fallacy of the Broken Window exposes the lie that, <a id="w3h5" title="as one Austrian Economist put it" href="http://mises.org/story/2868" target="_blank">as one Austrian Economist put it</a>, &#8220;the &#8230; destruction of wealth fuels its creation.&#8221;   He then goes on to summarize the Fallacy and concludes:</p>
<p style="margin-left: 40px;">You can see the absurdity of the position &#8230; when you take it to absurd extremes.<strong> If the broken window really produces wealth, why not break all windows up and down the whole city block?</strong> Indeed, why not break doors and walls? Why not tear down all houses so that they can be rebuilt? Why not bomb whole cities so construction firms can get busy rebuilding?</p>
<p style="margin-left: 40px;"><strong>It is not a good thing to destroy wealth.</strong> <span>Bastiat</span> puts it this way: &#8220;<strong>Society loses the value of things which are uselessly destroyed</strong>.&#8221;</p>
<p>But Big Government frequently <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">peppers</span> hammers us with the message that we must create new wealth by destroying old wealth!</p>
<p>And that&#8217;s where Cars For Clunkers comes in.  Here&#8217;s a quick summary of the program and where it goes wrong.</p>
<ol>
<li>The Federal Government takes tax-dollars, or borrowed dollars (to be paid back later through taxes), and offers to hand that money to people who will trade in <span>pre</span>-selected older cars; the money is to be used toward buying a new car; then the government takes the traded-in car off the road, and junks it, often by destroying the engine; the &#8220;subsidy&#8221; given toward buying the new car (for each trade-in) is $3,500-4,500</li>
<li>If the value of the trade-in car is less than the $3,500-4,500 handed in trade value the government has overpaid for the car, despite that the government is about to junk it, thus ensuring that no value will be received in return.</li>
<li> If the value of the trade-in car is more than the $3,500-4,500 handed, the government still derives no value from the trade because it&#8217;s not reselling it; it&#8217;s junking it and stripping it for salvageable parts (which are minimal)</li>
<li>The net number of cars on the road remains the same; maybe net emissions drop or maybe fuel-usage drops (because of better fuel efficiency) in the aggregate, <strong>but <em>maybe not</em></strong>! (more on that below)</li>
</ol>
<p>So, in this new version of the Broken Window Fallacy, our modern-day Window Breakers are destroying drivable cars, then handing out confiscated or borrowed money to the people who are allowing their &#8220;<span style="text-decoration: line-through;">windows</span> cars to be broken&#8221; because other people are paying for these <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">windows</span> cars to be replaced with newer, better, sexier models!</p>
<p>They do this in the name of saving the environment from pollution, or saving on &#8220;waste&#8221; through fuel-efficiency, or preventing global-warming through reducing emissions, or whatever.  It really doesn&#8217;t matter what justification they&#8217;re using, it&#8217;s wrong on several levels.</p>
<p>It destroys wealth by not letting these cars be used up over their useful life.  It destroys wealth by routing scarce resources into activities &#8211; in this case, car building &#8211; that wouldn&#8217;t otherwise take place, denying other industries access to those resources.  It destroys wealth by taking on liabilities, through borrowing, that have to be paid back later by taxpayers (reducing their purchasing power in the future) or by taxing them immediately (reducing their purchasing power today).</p>
<p>Also, <em>building</em> the new cars emits all kinds things into the atmosphere and gobbles up energy in the production process!   So any gains in emission and efficiency are offset by that, too!</p>
<p>Guess what else proponents of this destruction are missing?</p>
<p>They are oblivious to how the incentives will change future behavior.</p>
<p>These people traded in a car they&#8217;ve been likely to drive less.  We can safely assume these cars didn&#8217;t get as good gas mileage or were older, &#8220;clunkers&#8221;, because they were targeted for these reasons.  These cars also may not have been driven at all, or driven rarely.  However, they&#8217;ve been used to help people get a vehicle that they&#8217;re now more likely to drive more frequently!!!  More driving means more emissions, even if the emission per unit of travel is less.  More driving means more fuel consumption, even if the fuel consumption per unit of travel is less.</p>
<p>See, when you change the incentives, you change the behavior.  The people who owned these traded in cars were <span>incentivized</span> to drive them less by having to pay more for a unit of travel, and by having to conserve the remaining life in the car, which may have been approaching the end of its life over the next 5-10 years.  Now?  Not so much.</p>
<p>In fact, the<a href="http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/31/dealers-race-to-get-their-clunkers-crushed/?hp" target="_blank"> New York Times reports</a>, &#8220;Michael Gerrard, director of Columbia Law School’s Center for Climate Change Law, said in a statement that <strong>the cash-for-clunker program is not a cost-effective way to reduce fuel use or greenhouse gas emissions.</strong> Any energy savings, he said, could take several years to realize, considering the time it takes the fuel savings from a new car to exceed the energy cost used to make it.</p>
<p>Who are the favored parties?</p>
<p>The subsidized consumers, of course.  But also the favored industries, who have had their goods favored at the expense of other industries.  The government isn&#8217;t handing out money to go buy [fill in the blank], yet they&#8217;re siphoning off money and resources from a finite supply and putting it into one area, at the expense of other areas.</p>
<p>Think the Auto-Dealers liked it?</p>
<p><a id="yw5r" title="Look at this" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124898886526095011.html" target="_blank">Look at this</a>:</p>
<div style="margin-left: 40px;">&#8220;It was an absolute success,&#8221; said Michael J. Jackson, chief executive of <span>AutoNation</span> Inc., the U.S.&#8217;s largest chain of auto dealerships. &#8220;There&#8217;s a very compelling case the government should put more money into it. It&#8217;s a great stimulus to the economy.&#8221;</div>
<p>Of course!  The &#8220;government&#8221; should put more money into it.  Let me fix that quote to show you what it <em>should</em> say if it were telling the truth.</p>
<div style="margin-left: 40px;">&#8220;It was great for us, though a miserable failure for taxpayers and other industries,&#8221; said Michael J. Jackson, chief executive of <span>AutoNation</span> Inc., the U.S.&#8217;s largest chain of auto dealerships. &#8220;There&#8217;s really no case to be made that the government should confiscate or borrow more money to put into it.  But it&#8217;s a great stimulus to my bank account, so I don&#8217;t care what happens to the people picking up the tab!&#8221;</div>
<p>Who were the losers?</p>
<p>Everyone else, especially the taxpayers.  And other businesses and industries, especially ones directly impacted by trading these cars in instead of servicing them, auto-parts sellers, mechanics, etc.</p>
<p>The funny thing is that down the road even the dealers will suffer, because this program created false demand and just kicked the can down the road so that the dealers could put off their day-of-reckoning a little longer.</p>
<p>Want to feel some outrage?</p>
<p><a id="t0hp" title="Read this story and watch the video" href="http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/31/dealers-race-to-get-their-clunkers-crushed/?hp" target="_blank">Read this story and watch the video</a>, especially watch the video at the 2 minute mark on where they discuss how the cars are junked, and how otherwise re-saleable parts are destroyed in the process.  Perfectly usable cars being destroyed!  And, as an added bonus, Big Government makes a complete mess in administering the program (but don&#8217;t worry, <a href="http://www.sbabg.org/2009/07/20/the-government-health-care-plan-is-sick-and-its-bad-for-small-business/" target="_blank">they&#8217;ll run nationalized health care flawlessly</a>).</p>
<p>We&#8217;re not being fooled.  <a id="mhpv" title="The majority of American people understand that this program is corrupt and just 35 in 100 Americans are in favor of it" href="http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/business/auto_industry/july_2009/most_oppose_cash_for_clunkers_but_many_willing_to_take_the_money_if_offered" target="_blank">The majority of American people understand that this program is corrupt and just 35 in 100 Americans are in favor of it</a>.</p>
<p>But since we&#8217;re living in the age of Big Government, so let&#8217;s go all the way with this!</p>
<p>Why stop at cars?  In fact, the Wall Street Journal today asked, <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204313604574326531645819464.html#mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank">Why not a &#8220;Cash for Everything&#8221; program</a>?</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s blow up buildings and rebuild them with subsidies to stimulate commercial building.  Let&#8217;s burn down homes and rebuild them with taxpayer funds to stimulate the <span>homebuilding</span> industry!  Let&#8217;s break up all our fine-china and buy everyone a new set!</p>
<p>Or maybe not.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s just point out one last thing about the way Cash For Clunkers was run, and how it exposes Big Government hypocrisy.</p>
<p>Very poor people, the car-less among us, who don&#8217;t have any private transportation of their own, and who Big Government always profess to help, could have really used those cars.  They could&#8217;ve been given to people in need.</p>
<p>This summer I donated my &#8220;clunker&#8221; to the <a id="xv9l" title="Kars 4 Kids" href="http://www.kars4kids.org/" target="_blank"><span>Kars</span> 4 Kids</a> charity, which then sold it and used the money to help poor children.  I&#8217;ll bet you my shiniest nickle that this government program has caused material hurt to charities like <span>Kars</span> 4 Kids.  And not just this year, but also in future years since many cars that may have been later donated to charity had their end-life pushed up to the present day and therefore won&#8217;t be available for donation in the future.</p>
<p>Just another sad instance of the <span>Bastiat&#8217;s</span> &#8220;unseens&#8221; or, in words we like to use, &#8220;what-might-have-<span>beens</span>.&#8221;</p>
<p>The program should probably be called &#8220;Cash <em>From</em> Clunkers&#8221; since this bunch of Big Government phonies are possessed of such little brain-power that they can only themselves be referred to as Clunkers.  Then again, referring to it as &#8220;Cash From Clunkers&#8221; also obscures the fact that though they are <em>delivering</em> the money, it&#8217;s not <em>their</em> money.  It&#8217;s <em>our</em> money.  Or China&#8217;s money that they&#8217;ve borrowed and we will have to pay back someday.</p>
<p>Anyone suspect that this whole program might just be one ruse to <a id="qu1v" title="prop up Government Run Motors" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124380079212769963.html" target="_blank">prop up Government Run Motors</a> or as a <a href="http://www.usnews.com/blogs/washington-whispers/2009/04/03/autoworkers-union-backs-cash-for-clunkers.html" target="_blank">payback to the Automobile Unions</a>?</p>
<p>Whatever.  It&#8217;s corrupt.  Another example &#8211; in a long and growing list &#8211; of <a id="pt6:" title="corruption and Big Government go together." href="../2009/07/29/corruption-and-big-government-go-together/" target="_blank">corruption and Big Government going together.</a></p>
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SBABG.org</p>
<p>&#8212;</p>
<p><strong>UPDATES -  Below by Date</strong> &#8211; how did our predictions go relative to what really happened?  Read the results and decide for yourself.  (N0, we&#8217;re not prophets, we just have common sense and an understanding of basic human behavior, mysterious commodities that appear to be absent in politicians.)</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE: October 4, 2009</strong> &#8211; <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703628304574453280766443704.html#articleTabs%3Darticle" target="_blank">Cash for Clunkers Fails to Help Economy and Environment</a></p>
<blockquote><p>Last week U.S. automakers reported that new car sales for September, <strong>the first month since the clunker program expired, sank by 25% from a year earlier.</strong> Sales at GM and Chrysler fell by 45% and 42%, respectively. Ford was down about 5%. Some 700,000 cars were sold in the summer under the program as buyers received up to $4,500 to buy a new car they would probably have purchased anyway, so<strong> all the program seems to have done is steal those sales from the future. Exactly as critics predicted.</strong></p>
<p>Cash for clunkers had two objectives: help the environment by increasing fuel efficiency, and boost car sales to help Detroit and the economy. It achieved neither. According to Hudson Institute economist Irwin Stelzer, at best &#8220;the reduction in gasoline consumption will cut our oil consumption by 0.2 percent per year, or less than a single day&#8217;s gasoline use.&#8221; Burton Abrams and George Parsons of the University of Delaware added up <strong>the total benefits from reduced gas consumption, environmental improvements and the benefit to car buyers and companies, minus the overall cost of cash for clunkers, and found a net cost of roughly $2,000 per vehicle. Rather than stimulating the economy, the program made the nation as a whole $1.4 billion poorer.</strong></p></blockquote>
<p><strong>UPDATE: October 23, 2009 &#8211; </strong><a href="http://readingeagle.com/article.aspx?id=162023" target="_blank"><span id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_lblArticleSubHeadline">Dealers say Cash for Clunkers has made cheap, used vehicles harder to find</span></a></p>
<blockquote><p><span id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_lblArticleData">In his 20 years in the business, salesman Mark Sauer has <strong>never had a tougher time finding inexpensive used cars.</strong></span></p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s never been this bad,&#8221; said Sauer, buyer and sales manager of Vaccaro&#8217;s Auto Buyers of Reading, 805 Hiesters Lane.</p>
<p><span id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_lblArticleData"><strong>&#8220;Customers used to be able to find a good car for their son or daughter to take to college for $2,000 or $3,000, but now that same car may cost $5,000,&#8221; Tabakelis said. &#8220;It&#8217;s sad.&#8221;</strong></span></p>
<p>He, too, blames cash for clunkers, which has led to fewer vehicles being available at used-car auctions, and the recession.</p>
<p><span id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_lblArticleData">&#8220;<strong>You used to be able to find a decent car for $2,500, and you can&#8217;t anymore</strong>, especially in the past two months,&#8221; said Arie Garcia, the association&#8217;s office manager.</span></p>
<p>Another problem is that<strong> used-vehicle prices have quickly risen above their book values, making it tougher for customers to secure financing,</strong> Garcia said.</p>
<p><strong>&#8220;Cash for clunkers really hurt the used-car industry,&#8221; she said. &#8220;I think it hurt more people than it helped.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote>
<p><span><strong>UPDATE: October 29, 2009 &#8211; </strong><a href="http://money.cnn.com/2009/10/28/autos/clunkers_analysis/index.htm?postversion=2009102817">Taxpayers paid $24,000 per car</a></span></p>
<blockquote><p>The Cash for Clunkers program gave car buyers rebates of up to $4,500 if they traded in less fuel-efficient vehicles for new vehicles that met certain fuel economy requirements. A total of $3 billion was allotted for those rebates.</p>
<p>The average rebate was $4,000. But<strong> the overwhelming majority of sales would have taken place anyway</strong> at some time in the last half of 2009, according to Edmunds.com. That means <strong>the government ended up spending about $24,000 each for those 125,000 additional vehicle sales</strong>.</p></blockquote>
<p><span><strong>UPDATE: October 29, 2009</strong> &#8211; <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of-the-day-motor-vehicle-output-2009-10" target="_blank">Cash for Clunkers Massively Distorted GDP</a></span></p>
<blockquote><p>If anyone mentions the just-released 3.5% U.S. third quarter GDP growth, just throw <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of-the-day-motor-vehicle-output-2009-10" target="_blank">this chart</a> in their face. <strong>Cash for Clunkers clearly distorted the U.S. economic figures in an unsustainable fashion. </strong></p>
<p>Next quarter, we won&#8217;t just be returning to business as usual for auto output. Don&#8217;t forget that Cash for Clunkers pulled future auto demand, ie. some of Q4 demand, into Q3. Thus Q4 is likely to be very weak since many people who planned to buy a car in Q4 probably took advantage of Clunkers and bought in Q3.</p>
<p><strong>Next quarter, not only are we unlikely to get Q3&#8217;s boost, but motor vehicle output data could subtract from GDP as well. So watch out for the cliff&#8230;</strong></p></blockquote>
<p><strong>UPDATE: March 23, 2010 &#8211; Car Sales ($millions) Reported by Dealers</strong></p>
<p><strong><img class="aligncenter" src="http://www.sbabg.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/cashclunkers1-300x204.png" alt="" width="300" height="204" /><br />
</strong></p>
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		<title>Historical Revisionism Alert! Who you gonna believe, me or your lying eyes?</title>
		<link>http://www.sbabg.org/2009/07/16/historical-revisionism-alert-who-you-gonna-believe-me-or-your-lying-eyes/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sbabg.org/2009/07/16/historical-revisionism-alert-who-you-gonna-believe-me-or-your-lying-eyes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jul 2009 00:17:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Big Fat Lies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dishonesty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gibbs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[obama]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sbabg.org/?p=149</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[From Hot Air:
New White House spin: Stimulus not designed to … stimulate
ABC Reports today that White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said at a briefing Thursday,
The $787 billion “American Recovery and Reinvestment Act” (AARA) was not designed for full economic recovery, but rather to “stabilize” the downturn.  That’s the word from White House officials today, who [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From Hot Air:</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://hotair.com/archives/2009/07/16/new-white-house-spin-stimulus-not-designed-to-stimulate/">New White House spin: Stimulus not designed to … <em>stimulate</em></a></strong></p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2009/07/should-they-have-called-it-the-stabilization-act.html">ABC Reports today</a> that White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said at a briefing Thursday,</p>
<blockquote><p>The $787 billion “American Recovery and Reinvestment Act” (AARA) <strong>was not designed for full economic recovery, but rather to “stabilize” the downturn</strong>.  That’s the word from White House officials today, who held off-camera briefings with reporters on how the AARA is working so far.  “This legislation was <strong>designed to cushion the downturn</strong>,” said White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Right.  Not to call you a liar, but . . . <span id="more-149"></span>your boss, <a href="http://thepage.time.com/full-remarks-of-obamas-stimulus-speech/">President Obama, said in January</a> when you were scare-mongering the passage of the <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">stimulus</span> (sorry) &#8220;stabilization&#8221; bill:</p>
<blockquote><p>That is why I have moved quickly to work with my economic team and leaders of both parties on an American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan that will <strong>immediately jumpstart job creation and long-term growth</strong>. …</p>
<p>There is no doubt that the cost of this plan will be considerable.  It will certainly add to the budget deficit in the short-term.  But equally certain are the consequences of doing too little or nothing at all, for that will lead to an even greater deficit of jobs, incomes, and confidence in our economy.  It is true that we cannot depend on government alone to create jobs or long-term growth, but <strong>at this particular moment, only government can provide the short-term boost necessary to lift us from a recession this deep and severe.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://twitter.com/Slublog/statuses/2677793453">Slublog has a great question</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p><span><span>If the stimulus wasn&#8217;t meant to stimulate economic recovery, why is the website called recovery.gov?</span></span></p></blockquote>
<p>People, be warned.  <a href="http://www.slate.com/id/2222449/">This is a precursor for the second stimulus bill that is going to soon be <em>formally </em>proposed (and is already being proposed by some in the Administration). </a> By saying that the fist bill was not a stimulus bill, they are laying the groundwork a second stimulus bill, which they will insist is really the first one, since the one in January was never really intended to be a stimulus, but merely a &#8220;stabilization bill.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://kickthemallout.com/">Throw all the bums out.</a></p>
<p>Ladies and gentlemen, I give you &#8230;. (drumroll)</p>
<p>Hope.  Change.  (And a big fat memory zapping device).</p>
<p>Please <a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/SmallBusinessAgainstBigGovernment" target="_blank">subscribe to our RSS feed</a> and <a href="../newsletter/">our newsletter</a>, and <a href="http://www.facebook.com/sbabg" target="_blank">join our Facebook group</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.sbabg.org/2009/07/16/historical-revisionism-alert-who-you-gonna-believe-me-or-your-lying-eyes/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
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		<title>How the Federal Reserve hurts small businesses and what you can do to fix it</title>
		<link>http://www.sbabg.org/2009/07/16/how-the-federal-reserve-hurts-small-businesses-and-what-you-can-do-to-fix-it/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sbabg.org/2009/07/16/how-the-federal-reserve-hurts-small-businesses-and-what-you-can-do-to-fix-it/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Jul 2009 16:54:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sbabg.org/?p=129</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Note: The below is an updated take on a post I wrote and published this in early October 2008 under the title, &#8220;The Super Easy Guide to Understanding The Financial Crisis.&#8221;  Stick with it.  When you understand how the Federal Reserve hurts small businesses, you will understand why it is so important that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Note: The below is an updated take on a post I wrote and published this in early October 2008 under the title, &#8220;The Super Easy Guide to Understanding The Financial Crisis.&#8221;  Stick with it.  When you understand how the Federal Reserve hurts small businesses, you will understand why it is so important that we <a href="http://bytestyle.tv/content/two-ways-keep-federal-reserve-running-scared-get-our-audit-hr-1207-s-604">urge our State Representatives and Senators to support HR1207 and S604</a></em><em> .  These are the precursors to legislation that would allow U.S. Citizens, through the Government Accountability Office (GAO), to &#8220;Audit the Federal Reserve&#8221; (Can you believe that we can&#8217;t do that now?)<br />
</em></p>
<p><em>Yesterday, The Fox News Show &#8220;Freedom Watch&#8221; dedicated all conversation to the topic of the Federal Reserve.  Shelly Roche from <a href="http://bytestyle.tv/">ByteStyle.tv</a> was a guest on the program and mentioned our group, Small Business Against Big Government.  Aside from being very excited and grateful for the mention, it made me want to do more educating about the Federal Reserve.  Thus, the below.  I hope you (1) enjoy it (2) share it with others (3) call your Congressional Reps and Senators to voice your support of these measure.</em></p>
<p><em>The below is intended to be something you can <span style="text-decoration: underline;">share with employees and co-workers</span>, so please identify someone you can share it with today.<br />
</em></p>
<p>In October 2008 you probably watched what was going on in Washington and on Wall Street  &#8211; all these bankers and congressmen running around, the hand wringing, the panicking, the gyrating markets, the claims that we&#8217;re heading into a depression, screaming for a bailout &#8211; and you thought:</p>
<p><strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">What the devil is going on?</span><br />
</strong><br />
<span style="background-color: #ffffff;">What is this crisis exactly, and why could it cause another depression?<span id="more-129"></span></span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Depressions are marked by mass unemployment and a sputtering economy. </span><span style="background-color: #ffffff">As Frank Chodorov put it, &#8220;</span>A depression is a halting of production. Production stops when people cut down on their consumption.&#8221;  <span style="background-color: #ffffff"> </span><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">People want to work, but can&#8217;t find it. People want to borrow money, but no one lends. People can&#8217;t pay their debts. They lose their homes, their cars, their businesses, their jobs.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Do you know why depressions happen?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"><strong>Depressions happen because resources get put to bad uses &#8211; really bad uses &#8211; and the dislocation between supply of and demand for goods and services leads to a painful restructuring or unwinding from the excesses of earlier times.</strong> </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">People have gone to work in industries that provide &#8220;goods and services&#8221; that other people no longer want. For example, a few years ago everyone and his dog, it seemed, was becoming a real estate agent or mortgage broker. Today? No demand for that. These people have had to find something else to do. In a depression a lot of people are looking for something else to do all at the same time.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">There are causes for these resources being misallocated (a bigger, better word to describe &#8220;put to bad use&#8221;), but that discussion goes beyond the scope of this discussion.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">The issue now is that there&#8217;s a real fear that resources have been so terribly misallocated that the resulting adjustment is going to plunge us into another Great Depression.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Apparently &#8211; the politicians told us &#8211; this Depression was inevitable. That is, unless the government were to intervene. Or so says the government. </span></p>
<p><strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But what </span><em style="background-color: #ffffff">specifically </em></strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"><strong>was happening then, during the adjustment process, that caused this fear of economic crash and resulting depression?</strong> What might happen to cause mass unemployment, mass poverty, and why would it happen at that moment?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">I&#8217;ve been asked this question by people who don&#8217;t follow markets or the economy much, and so I resolved to write something that would help explain &#8220;how we got here&#8221; the best I can.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So, here it is. My attempt to explain in &#8220;common folks language&#8221; what&#8217;s happening right now and why it&#8217;s freaking everyone out. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">I&#8217;ll leave out the numbers and instead stick to broad outlines and discussions of economic cause and effect. Buckle your seat-belt.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Here is </span><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">the core thing</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> you have to understand about our situation at that time</span><em style="background-color: #ffffff">.</em></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">We were experiencing a credit crunch of monumental proportions</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> in the credit markets. The credit markets are the places where borrowers and lenders meet up to exchange money for promises. A borrower takes money from a lender, and in exchange for that money gives a promise &#8211; to pay back the money with interest.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">What&#8217;s a credit crunch?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Simply, it&#8217;s a state-of-affairs where and when people and companies &#8211; especially companies &#8211; that </span><em style="background-color: #ffffff">need </em><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">to borrow money (and in a normal market would be able to borrow money) </span><em style="background-color: #ffffff">can&#8217;t</em> borrow money.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Lenders just aren&#8217;t lending, and instead are holding onto their money. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">How do you know when a crunch is on? Do you have to ask the lenders?  The borrowers?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">No.  Just watch interest rates. </span><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">You see the signs of a credit crunch anytime interest rates suddenly go way up (and I mean, <em>way</em> up, like a rocket taking off to the moon). </strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Why do they go up in a crunch? </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Because there&#8217;s not enough of the money to go around for everyone who wants it, so the people who are &#8220;selling money&#8221; have a lot of potential customers bidding for it.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Here&#8217;s a somewhat lame but illustrative example. Let&#8217;s say you have a ticket to see Britney Spears in concert at a show that seats 100,000 people. It cost you very little &#8211; 10 bucks &#8211; because no one wants to see her and there were a ton of seats available. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">There&#8217;s a lot of supply of seats/tickets, and very little demand.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But then you hear that the venue has been changed to a 50 seater. Well, all of the sudden the supply of seats is down, in fact, they&#8217;ve all sold out, so now each ticket is worth a little more.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">You&#8217;re thinking about selling your ticket. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But then Britney gets laryngitis, and a couple of hours before the show they announce a replacement &#8211; a surprise performance by Miley Cyrus. Well, everyone wants to see Miley, so suddenly those 50 seats are in </span><em style="background-color: #ffffff">very</em><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> high demand. </span></p>
<p><em style="background-color: #ffffff">Now</em><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> there&#8217;s a lot of demand, and very little supply.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Everyone wants your ticket, and you sell it for $100 bucks.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">That happens with money, too. When demand is low and supply is high, interest rates are low. When demand is high and supply is low, interest rates are high.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">For a few weeks in September and October short term interest rates &#8211; specifically, the rates at which banks lend each other money overnight &#8211; shot up by around 200%.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">See, lots of people wanted to borrow money from lenders. And the more time that goes by that they want to borrow, but can&#8217;t, the more they&#8217;ll need to borrow, and the more desperate they become.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">The crunch borrowers experienced was primarily in short-term money that companies <em>needed to</em> borrow. </strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">This kind of debt is called &#8220;commercial paper&#8221; but the name is really not important to our discussion; you will now understand it when you read about it.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">What is important to our discussion is that you understand what happens to a company when it can&#8217;t borrow short-term money when it </span><em style="background-color: #ffffff">needs</em><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> it.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Notice I said <em>need </em>to borrow, not <em>want </em>to borrow.   When a company <em>needs </em>to borrow, bad things happen if it can&#8217;t. </strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Many companies borrow money for short periods of time to cover expense or pay for things they need immediately, like inventory or payroll, because don&#8217;t have the cash right now. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">They can get a short-term loan because they&#8217;ll have the cash later. Owing to the fact that they will have the cash later, someone will lend them the money they need right now and get paid back, with interest, a little later.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">So the big worry was that there was a shortage of this short term money for borrowing, and it was putting companies under so much pressure that they might have to shut doors, stop delivering services, and lay off people.</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">How is that exactly?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">I mentioned that people use this short term money to stock up on inventory for sales they expect to make in the future, or to meet payroll.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">If you don&#8217;t have product to sell because you can&#8217;t finance it, then you can&#8217;t make a sale, can&#8217;t turn a profit, can&#8217;t pay your people, your rent, your long-term debt, your light bill, etc.<br />
</strong><br />
<span style="background-color: #ffffff;">What happens if you can&#8217;t pay your people? </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">They can either work for free, or they can try to get another job. Either way, it&#8217;s a hardship. Their mortgages have to be paid. Their kids have to eat. It&#8217;s incredibly disruptive. Mass layoffs means mass defaults on consumer debt (they have credit cards and cars that they bought on credit), which means consumer lenders tighten credit, too. And it spirals downward.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So there&#8217;s this problem with this short term debt being unavailable.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">There&#8217;s a second reason people need new short term debt.  They need it to pay off the old short term debt they have now.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">See, in the business world, people often don&#8217;t &#8220;pay off&#8221; debt with cash in their bank account &#8211; there isn&#8217;t any cash there. They pay off one loan by going and getting another. This is called &#8220;rolling over&#8221; debt.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">In a normal credit market people &#8220;roll over&#8221; short-term debt all the time.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">For example, a company will borrow some money for a month or so and then a month later, instead of paying it off, they roll it over by borrowing more money to pay off for the old money.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But what happens if it comes time to roll the debt over, but you can&#8217;t get a new loan to pay off the old one? </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, you have to pay off the old one with the money you have in the bank account, If you have any at all.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">And what if there&#8217;s none there?</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Well, you&#8217;re shafted.</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">And that&#8217;s what was happening.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">People couldn&#8217;t roll over their debt, and they couldn&#8217;t get cash for their short term needs.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So they were being threatened with having to close their doors and lay people off, all because they can&#8217;t roll over this debt.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">These are often great companies, profitable companies, companies with customers and demand for products, but they aren&#8217;t able to get &#8220;grease in their gears&#8221; to keep their production engines turning.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">So we knew <em>what </em>was happening. But why did it  happen?  Why couldn&#8217;t good companies get short term debt?</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, like we said before, because lenders weren&#8217;t lending.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But why </span><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">weren&#8217;t</span><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> they lending? Did they have the money? If so, why did they hoard it? And if they didn&#8217;t have money to lend, why not? Where did it go all of a sudden? Why do lenders get afraid to lend? </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">There are two reasons lenders get afraid to lend.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">1 &#8211; They&#8217;re worried they won&#8217;t get their loaned money back.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">2 &#8211; They&#8217;ve also borrowed money, and they&#8217;re worried they&#8217;ll have to pay back their own debts so want to keep their cash in their own account.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">When you borrow money, it doesn&#8217;t come without strings attached. There are certain ways you agree to run your business and certain standards you agree to keep. There are also collateral values you agree to maintain so that in case you don&#8217;t pay the loan back the lender can take over something of value, sell it, and recover all or part of the loan loss.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, as to #1, a lot of defaults were happening, so banks were getting burned and were worried about future loan defaults.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But something else was going on. Even on loans that were getting paid back, the assets (the stuff they&#8217;ll take from you and sell if you don&#8217;t pay for your loan) backing the loan were dropping in value as collateral.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Now as to #2, the people the lenders borrowed money from didn&#8217;t want to give the lenders any additional money(and in many cases were asking for money back) because they see these loans going bad, and this collateral losing value.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So both of those things were going on.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Borrowers and lenders both became INSOLVENT.</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Insolvent is an opaque word for a pretty sinister state-of-affairs. Being insolvent means you are unable to meet your debt obligations. You owe more than you&#8217;re worth and you can&#8217;t pay your loans back. </span><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Insolvent means &#8220;negative net worth&#8221;.  It&#8217;s de facto bankruptcy.</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Who wants to loan money when the person receiving it (the counter-party) might not be able to pay it back and whose collateral is so cruddy, losing value, that you might not be able to recover any of it?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">You&#8217;re scared witless that you&#8217;re going to lose your money if you lend it out.  So you&#8217;re hoarding it.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">The threat and fear of insolvency (fear of permanent and/or significant loss) among counter-parties caused hoarding by lenders.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">But, you ask, why were companies suddenly becoming insolvent?</strong></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">The problem was two fold &#8211; DEFLATION and ASSET VALUE WRITEDOWNS (which is really just a form of DEFLATION).</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Don&#8217;t get overwhelmed by those words.  They&#8217;re easy to understand.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Deflation:</strong><br />
<span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Deflation is an ugly word that means what it sounds like. Deflated tires are tires that have lost air. An economy experiencing deflation is an economy that is experiences a price drop on the stuff in the economy.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Rapid and sudden deflation is also known as a &#8220;bust&#8221;.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">The housing market busted. Housing prices plummeted. Banks that lent against homes, using those homes as collateral, saw the value of that collateral plummet. Who wants to make a loan in an environment like that?</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Writedowns:</strong><br />
<span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Let&#8217;s talk a little bit more about collateral and its importance, and what happens when it turns out to be worth much less than you think.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">See, when a bank lends money, it usually lends against collateral.  Let&#8217;s say you are from the </span><a id="ih01" style="background-color: #ffffff" title="Maxine Walters school of mortgage lending" href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_MGT_cSi7Rs" target="_blank">Maxine Waters school of mortgage lending</a><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> (see minute 5:06-5:38) and you borrowed 100% of the cost of a home, and didn&#8217;t even put any of your own money into it.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">The bank lends you $200K to buy a house, and you buy a $200K house. So you owe 100% of what the house is &#8220;worth&#8221;. Lets say you have an interest-only mortgage (that means you only are paying back the &#8220;cost&#8221; of the money you borrowed &#8211; and not actually paying down the money itself) and pay $1000 a month in interest. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But then a recession hits, homes are overbuilt, etc., and the price of your house in the market drops to $160K. Then let&#8217;s say you lose your job and can&#8217;t pay your interest payment. You want to sell the house, but you&#8217;re $40K &#8220;underwater&#8221; (your house is worth $40K less than you paid for it). And you can&#8217;t even make the monthly payments.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">See, the value of that home has to be &#8220;written down&#8221; by $40K on the lenders financial reports.  But it wasn&#8217;t </span><em style="background-color: #ffffff">your</em><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> money that was put in the home. It was someone else&#8217;s money that they lent you.  Someone else was out $200K and thought they&#8217;d get it back from you some day. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Since you can&#8217;t pay the debt, you&#8217;re insolvent. The bank takes the house back, but now that $200 &#8220;asset&#8221; on their books has to be written down to $160K. That&#8217;s a $40K loss for them. That&#8217;s real money the lender lost because the loan wasn&#8217;t paid back and the home couldn&#8217;t be sold for the value of the loan.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">See, that&#8217;s what happened. </span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Prices dropped on homes, people couldn&#8217;t afford them, and banks had to take them back for fractions of what they&#8217;re worth (this process continues today).</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> As they write down the value of the home, they are finding that they themselves &#8211; the banks &#8211; are becoming insolvent. See, they borrow money, too, then lend it to you . . . and when you don&#8217;t pay them back, they can&#8217;t pay back the people they borrowed from, and they go bankrupt, too. It&#8217;s like dominoes.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">When banks are writing down the value of the loans they&#8217;ve made, they hoard cash because they need it to make sure they&#8217;re still solvent. When they&#8217;re hoarding, they can&#8217;t lend. And if homebuyers can&#8217;t borrow in order to buy homes, what happens to home prices? Yep, they go down even more.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">A really smart guy named John Hussman explains how write-downs and deflation lead to insolvency better than anyone else I&#8217;ve ever read.</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> He specifically talks about banks, and he shows  how deflation leads to write-downs, which leads to customers making withdrawals from banks, which leads to more stress on a bank. There are some words in there you might not understand, but read it anyway, just in case.</span></p>
<p class="largeText" style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">1) As the assets of a financial company lose value, the losses reduce the asset side of the balance sheet, but also reduce shareholder equity on the liability side;</p>
<p class="largeText" style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">2) as the cushion of shareholder equity becomes thinner, customers begin to make withdrawals;</p>
<p class="largeText" style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">3) in order to satisfy customer withdrawals, the financial company is forced to liquidate assets at distressed prices, prompting a further reduction in shareholder equity;</p>
<p class="largeText" style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">4) go back to 1) and continue the vicious cycle until shareholder equity goes negative and the company becomes insolvent.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">(From his article &#8220;</span><strong style="background-color: #ffffff"><em><span class="blueArticleHeadline"><strong><em>You Can&#8217;t Rescue the Financial System If You Can&#8217;t Read a Balance Sheet &#8221; </em></strong></span></em></strong><a id="a__d" style="background-color: #ffffff" title="http://hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc080929.htm" href="http://hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc080929.htm">http://hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc080929.htm</a><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> You should read it after you finish reading this.)</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">So deflation and write-downs can be very bad</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">, because they often wipe out the equity value of assets and leave just the debt, and they can go so far so as to actually give the company a negative worth (i.e. they have more in debt than the company is even worth).</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So what causes deflation?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Busts.</span><br />
<strong style="background-color: #ffffff"><br />
But what causes the bust that causes deflation?</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, are you ready for this?  (don&#8217;t get confused)</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">INFLATION.</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">What is inflation?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Sounds like when tires get full.  The opposite of deflation.  So it&#8217;s good right?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Look. Having your tires stay stable, full of air, at the right pressure, is good. Over- or under-inflating your tires is bad. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Fill a tire too full of air (inflation) and . . . pop (deflation).  Same with an economy.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">To be precise, inflation is an </span><em style="background-color: #ffffff"><strong>increase in the money supply</strong></em><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">, which then raises the prices of goods and services people are selling. </span></p>
<p><em style="background-color: #ffffff"><strong>One of the evil things about inflation is that can make you feel richer &#8211; for a while &#8211; without actually making you richer. And when you figure that out, you feel poorer. </strong></em></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">If I get a raise at work and my salary is doubled, I now make twice as much money as before. But if, at the same time, the price of everything in the economy doubled, well, I&#8217;m just where I was before. If I make a buck today and a coke costs me a buck today, but tomorrow I make two bucks and a coke costs two bucks, am I really richer?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">By the way, the cost of a home in my city did double from 2003-2006, but my income didn&#8217;t, so I actually felt poorer. But now that home prices are back down, the people who bought at the peak feel poorer. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So everyone feels poorer.  Way to go inflation.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">There are different kinds of inflation, but the one we&#8217;ve just seen in our economy is one that has been very, very, very bad. It&#8217;s called &#8220;asset inflation&#8221; and it manifests itself particularly in the inflation of home prices.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">When there&#8217;s too much money in the market chasing goods (supply of money increasing), it drives up the price of things.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Think about houses. When lots of people wanted to buy homes in 2005 and 2006, there were more and more buyers bidding up the prices of homes. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So, to reiterate, inflation and deflation are caused by a change in the amount of money in the economy, relative to the goods that are in the economy. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">You get inflation by printing money or lending people money on credit &#8211; both of which increase the amount of money in the economy. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff; font-weight: bold;">When you realize that borrowing on credit increases the money supply, and that reducing the amount of money lent in the economy decreases the money supply, you understand that the prices of goods follows &#8211; simple supply and demand. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">More money chasing a fixed amount of goods?  Inflation (rising prices). </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Less money chasing a fixed amount of goods?  Deflation (falling prices).</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff; font-weight: bold;">So what caused inflation and why did it [inflation] have to stop? </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">A boom in lending caused inflation.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Yes, you say, but people have been lending money forever without asset inflation this nasty. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">What was different this time?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Here&#8217;s your answer:</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">This kind of lending was &#8220;Cheap Money&#8221; lending.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Cheap Money Lending.<br />
</strong><br />
<span style="background-color: #ffffff;">What do I mean by cheap money?  Isn&#8217;t a dollar worth a dollar? </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, yes, in a sense.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But money costs something if you borrow it.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">No one will lend you money unless you give it back with a little extra for their having rented it out to you.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">That little extra is called interest.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Interest is the cost of money.</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Interest rates fluctuate.  When interest rates are low, it&#8217;s very &#8220;</span><em style="background-color: #ffffff">cheap</em><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">&#8221; to borrow money.  When interest rates are high, it&#8217;s more expensive.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">When it&#8217;s cheap to borrow, lots more people want to do it than when it&#8217;s expensive.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Do you remember the attacks on 9/11? </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Of course you do. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Financial markets tanked in the aftermath. The economy was already in recession, having just suffered a massive misallocation of capital in the Internet and technology boom and resulting bust. The 9/11 attacks on American soil caused the economy to slow further.</span></p>
<p><strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So to stimulate the economy the Federal Reserve (NOW we&#8217;re getting to it, you say . . .) dropped interest rates.</span></strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Why would that help the economy?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, because people would borrow money, then spend it on stuff, or invest it in stuff, and the economy would be fine.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">(But wouldn&#8217;t everyone just have more debt and have to pay it back someday, making it harder on them? you ask. Hey, don&#8217;t ask smart questions like that. Live in the now, baby.)</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">So they dropped rates,  big deal.  So money is cheaper to borrow.</strong></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">But how do they do that?  Do they just say &#8220;money now officially costs less&#8221; and suddenly interest rates everywhere drop.</strong></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">No.</strong></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Then how do they control the interest rate? </strong></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">They don&#8217;t just tell everyone to lend money at a cheaper rate, they actually do something.</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Let&#8217;s just review a couple of concepts we hit on before:</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">When money is cheaper, more people want to borrow it, right? </span>Right.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So there&#8217;s a need for more of it to be available, right?</span> Right.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So what comes first, the interest rate or the money supply?</span> The money supply!</p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">The Federal Reserve puts money into the economy until the supply and demand for money meet at the interest rate they&#8217;ve targeted.</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">It&#8217;s sort of a &#8220;cart and horse&#8221; thing. If there&#8217;s a lot of money in the system, rates will be cheaper. If people think rates will be cheaper, there HAS to be an increase of money in the system to have them actually be cheaper (you can&#8217;t &#8220;think&#8221; them cheaper).</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So the Federal Reserve &#8220;prints&#8221; money until the interest rate they&#8217;ve chosen gets hit.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Wow, money out of thin air?!<br />
</strong><br />
<span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Yep.  Basically. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So money got cheap to borrow after 9/11. Dirt cheap. The government lowered the interest rate to 1% (they call it the &#8220;Fed Funds&#8221; rate). And banks got that cheap money from the government and lent it out cheap.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Do you know what people like to buy when they can get a low interest rate?</strong></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">They like to buy homes.</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">A mortgage is just a loan you get and pay interest on. Mortgage loans are normally for 30 years, so a low interest rate makes a huge difference over a high interest rate over the life of the loan (often hundreds of thousands of dollars difference in payments over the life of the loan).</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So when people realized that they could buy a house for cheaper at these post-9/11 rates, they started to do it. And as they bought more homes, there were more jobs in construction, realty, mortgage brokering, etc. And as there was more money in that, the economy appeared to be picking up. People started &#8220;refinancing&#8221; their homes at cheaper rates (replacing their old mortgages with new, cheaper ones), saving more dollars each month, buying stuff with it.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">This went on and on.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Until pretty soon everyone wants a home. </strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">They&#8217;re getting into &#8220;bidding wars&#8221; and  the prices of homes are going higher and higher. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">People are getting rich! The difference between the cost of their home and its current &#8220;market value&#8221; is pretty big, so they take out a &#8220;home equity line of credit&#8221; which is a just a big phrase for &#8220;putting the ownership in my home at risk so that I can have a chunk of cash right now to spend on a boat.&#8221; </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">People took out new mortgages on their now-more-valuable homes, paid off the old mortgages, and used the difference between what they were able to borrow and what they paid off to buy boats, and do remodeling, and travel to far-away places.</span></p>
<p>Or, buy a second or third home.  Yikes.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">And other people start seeing home prices go up, equity in homes being captured buy homeowners, second and third homes being bought, boats being bought, and they think &#8211; hey I&#8217;d better get in now, too. If I don&#8217;t, I might miss the run up and then I won&#8217;t be rich!</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So more people pile in the market looking to buy a home and, hey, there are all kinds of loans out there that give them a low monthly payment (even if they are just paying for the interest and not paying for any actual ownership in the home &#8211; but don&#8217;t worry, the value of the home is going to go up forever and to infinity!)</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But pretty soon home prices are really skyrocketing and something really, really weird is happening. </span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">People with really low incomes are buying really expensive homes.</strong></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">People who have no business buying homes (people who months earlier were struggling to make rent on their apartments) are now getting the money to buy a McMansion.</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">It&#8217;s clear there&#8217;s a problem, or there&#8217;s going to be a problem at some point, because there&#8217;s no way many of these buyers should be able to afford these homes. At some point, when they have to actually pay something other than interest on their homes, there&#8217;s going to be big trouble.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But then banks keep letting people buy these homes with these crazy mortgages.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Soon, the economy is totally &#8220;overheating&#8221;.  Home prices have gone far, far too high to justify any sense of value.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">And the <strong>Federal Reserve</strong> is worried about this &#8220;asset bubble&#8221; (that&#8217;s what they called it).</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">They decide that they&#8217;ve got to raise the interest rate to slow things down.<br />
</strong><br />
<span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, how do they do that?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">You know the answer.  The only way to raise the interest rate is to reduce the amount of money available. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">How does that work?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Just imagine that there are two dollars in the world and they are owned by one person, and two other people in the world each want to borrow a dollar. The guy who has the dollars gives them each a buck and they agree to give it back to him in a month along with 10 cents (to pay for the &#8220;rent&#8221; of the money). So it&#8217;s a 10% monthly interest rate.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">They pay the guy back, with interest at the end of the month.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Now, a year later, the two borrowers go back to the guy, but this time he&#8217;s only got one buck, and it&#8217;s the only dollar in the world. He says, &#8220;Sorry, I&#8217;ve only got one, so I&#8217;ll rent it to the highest bidder.&#8221; The two borrowers start bidding, one after the other. Money is in tighter supply, harder to get, so this one, scarce dollar is now more valuable to each of the borrowers. Finally, one of them bids 20 cents to rent it for the month (20% monthly rate) and the other guy says, &#8220;Fine, you have it. I&#8217;m not paying that.&#8221;</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Did you see what happened? The fact that money was more scarce drove up the interest rate. Once it got high enough, one of the borrowers dropped out. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">The rate got high precisely because there was less money.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">(Same as in a credit crunch, when there&#8217;s less money to borrow.)</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Demand for (or desire for) money was there until the rate got high enough that one guy said &#8220;Not worth it to me, I&#8217;d rather lay in the sand&#8221;.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So all of that to underscore that money supply &#8211; along with money demand &#8211; determines the interest rate.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">In our example, when there was only one dollar to borrow the economy was then only half as &#8220;hot&#8221; (only one dollar borrowed and put to work, instead of two).</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, that&#8217;s what happens in real life, except with millions and millions of people, and billions and billions of dollars.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So back to the <strong>Federal Reserve</strong>. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">The economy is hot, so they&#8217;ve got to get this interest rate up, cool things down, and stop the home price increases before they get any crazier.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So they start pulling money out of the system, and the interest rate climbs until it hits their &#8220;target&#8221;.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But then the economy stays hot, so they pull more out, and more, and more, and more, until . . . </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">. . . it&#8217;s overdone.  It&#8217;s too high.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Now these homebuilders who had seen all these people with all these money are building tons of homes . . . that nobody wants anymore.</span><br />
<strong style="background-color: #ffffff"><br />
Whoops.  Misallocation of resources.</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> (Hey, isn&#8217;t that what causes depressions?  Uh oh.)</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Lots of houses. Not a lot of buyers. Builders start to slash home prices &#8211; even further, accelerating deflation &#8211; to get out of this inventory of homes they&#8217;ve overbuilt.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">The bubble bursts &#8230; deflation takes hold.</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> All that equity created when the home prices ran up gets wiped out. </span><br />
<strong style="background-color: #ffffff"><br />
But, oops, a lot of people borrowed against that equity and replaced it with debt, and now their houses are worth far less than what they owe on them.</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">You know the rest of the story &#8211; we talked about it above. This bust, this asset deflation, leads to insolvency, and that leads to a credit crunch, which could lead to a depression.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"><strong>And the KEY PLAYER in this Drama of Dunces is the Federal Reserve Bank.  You, as a small business employee or owner, are greatly impacted by these boom/bust cycles.  Through interest rate manipulation, the Federal Reserve not only causes instability in the financial system, they also send you false signals.</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"><strong>See, in a truly free market low interest rates are a sign of savings (since interest is the &#8220;cost&#8221; of money, when supply of loanable funds is high, lenders have to compete and lower the &#8220;cost&#8221; of the money they lend.)  This is a signal to small businesses to borrow money, because with all those pent up savings there are customers-a-waiting, and low-cost funds to employ to make them stuff they&#8217;ll later buy.</strong></span></p>
<p><strong>But when the Federal Reserve artificially lowers the rate (precisely BECAUSE there&#8217;s a lack of savings and they need to &#8220;stimulate&#8221; the economy), they send exactly the wrong signal to small businesses, who then make incorrect decisions.  Yuck.</strong></p>
<p><strong>And right at that moment, the bottom drops out.<br />
</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">As the eloquent Frank Chodorov says it, &#8220;A depression is a halting of production. <strong>Production stops when people cut down on their consumption. They are compelled to curtail because they burdened themselves with obligations during the boom and now they are unable to meet the interest payments. </strong>Values did not rise as fast as they had expected; mortgages and other debts hang heavy on their necks, and in an effort to save their original investment they cut down on their consumption. Cutting down on consumption means putting people out of jobs, and so the whole house of cards collapses. <strong>Only when the false values are liquidated, the mortgages wiped out, can there be a resumption of production. The depression is a period of deflation following a period of inflation.&#8221;</strong> (http://mises.org/etexts/rootofevilb.asp)</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Hmmmm, you say, something doesn&#8217;t add up. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">No bank HAD to make these loans. Smart people work there. They have rules and regulations they have to follow. Even with cheap money, and even though it made it seem more likely people would pay the loans back (after all, they had low interest rates), the banks would still make money, right? </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Banks don&#8217;t<em> have</em> or <em>want </em>to make loans to people who they&#8217;re worried won&#8217;t pay them back, right?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Oh, but they did.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Really?!!! But why would they?</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">Well, for one, they knew that they ultimately wouldn&#8217;t have to pay the full cost if the loans went bad.</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff">Huh?  Someone else would pay the cost if the loan went bad?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff">Yep.</span><strong style="background-color: #ffffff"><br />
</strong><br />
<strong style="background-color: #ffffff">AND, for two, they were forced to make the loans. </strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, forced is a strong word.  They actually had a choice: make the bad loans, or go out of business. </span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">But, you ask, if the banks weren&#8217;t bearing the full cost of the loans, who was?</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">First of all, lot of disappointed investors that the banks sold loans to bore the cost. But you know what? That&#8217;s not too terribly bad because investors take on risk, that&#8217;s part of the deal.  Sadly, many of them were misled by &#8220;Rating Agencies&#8221; they trusted but should not have.<br />
</span></p>
<p>Rating agencies rate the riskiness of assets, and these agencies were wrong about that risk.  I&#8217;m not going to spend too much time on this issue (though it is extremely important) because it was government &#8211; through their regulations &#8211; that told banks and institutions that they had to trust and utilize the values produced by these ratings agencies.   So people trusted these ratings, took on more risk than they thought they were (but they should&#8217;ve known better &#8230;), and bad things happened.</p>
<p>But enough about the investors who lost their shirts.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">There were people other than investors taking on this risk &#8211; taking on this risk without their knowledge, totally involuntarily &#8211; and that&#8217;s the part that is scandalous.</span></p>
<p>The victim in all this is the American Taxpayer.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">If it were just investors that got wiped out, that would be one thing. We&#8217;d still have the problems of inflation and deflation, and as individual homeowners people would have problems, but the American Taxpayer would largely be protected.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But unfortunately, it wasn&#8217;t just investors that took these loans and lost money. There were other companies, sponsored by the government, that bought these loans and also sold &#8220;insurance on the loans&#8221;.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">We&#8217;re getting to what is perhaps the saddest part of this whole thing.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">We&#8217;re about to uncover the fuel that allowed the forest fire to burn.  This is the tinder that <strong>Federal Reserve Policy</strong> lit on fire.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">There are some names you need to know. Learn these names and what they mean and you&#8217;ll be on your way to untangling the debacle. They are the names of </span><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">one government bill and </span><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">two organizations.</span></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff;">The bill is the Community Reinvestment Act (hereafter CRA).<br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong style="background-color: #ffffff;"> </strong><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">The names of the organizations are Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (aka Freddie and Fannie).</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">We&#8217;ll get to the details, but here&#8217;s what you need to know.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">1 &#8211; </span><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">The CRA allowed for the extortion and blackmail of banks so that they&#8217;d be put out of business if they didn&#8217;t make risky loans to unqualified borrowers.</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">2 &#8211; </span><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">The banks went ahead and made the risky loans because the government, through the organizations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, agreed to back the risky loans, </strong><strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">implicitly guaranteeing that if they went bad, the government (i.e. the US Taxpayer) would pick up the tab, </span><em style="background-color: #ffffff">not</em><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> the original lender.</span></strong><strong style="background-color: #ffffff"><br />
</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">These organizations are authorized and implicitly backed by the government to make mortgage loans, buy mortgage loans from people who hold them, and also to </span><strong style="background-color: #ffffff">insure them</strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">.</span></p>
<p>If Fannie or Freddie lose money and need a bailout, the government will bail them out. (They insist that they&#8217;re only &#8220;implicitly&#8221; not &#8220;explicitly&#8221; backed by the US government, but look what&#8217;s happening now.  Their takeover by the government happened in September 2008 and there are lots of ways US taxpayers are footing the bill for the intervention.)</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So what is being insured by Fannie and Freddie? </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">They are insuring mortgage loans against default.  Default, as we noted above, is a word for non-payment. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">If a loan defaults &#8211; the borrower stops paying it &#8211; and Freddie or Fannie has sold insurance on that loan, then when the loan doesn&#8217;t get paid back to the person who made the loan Fannie or Freddie has to pay the outstanding loan amount to the guy that got stiffed.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Sounds risky, huh?   You get a little bit of insurance money (a premium) but if a loan goes bad you have to pay for the whole thing! </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, it&#8217;s not expensive when everyone is making their house payments. When there aren&#8217;t any defaults you just collect that premium payment and </span><a id="zb2c" style="background-color: #ffffff" title="pay managers millions of dollars a year to pretend they're running the company safely" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franklin_Raines" target="_blank">pay managers millions of dollars a year to pretend they&#8217;re running the company safely</a><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">From Wikipedia. </span></p>
<p style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">&#8220;[Freddie and Fannie make money] by charging a guarantee fee on loans that it has purchased and securitized into mortgage-backed security bonds. Investors, or purchasers of Freddie Mac [loans], are <strong>willing to let Freddie Mac keep this fee in exchange for assuming the credit risk</strong>, that is, Freddie Mac&#8217;s <strong>guarantee that the principal and interest on the underlying loan will be paid back regardless of whether the borrower actually repays.</strong>&#8221; (<a id="m63." title="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Freddie_Mac#Business" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Freddie_Mac#Business">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Freddie_Mac#Business</a> )</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">OK, you say, I get it, so there are these organizations that guarantee that if loans aren&#8217;t paid, they&#8217;ll pick up the tab, and in exchange for the guarantee they get some dough.</span></p>
<p><strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Freddie and Fannie didn&#8217;t just sell insurance, they also bought and owned a lot of cruddy loans in order to help the US government meet its housing goals.</span></strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But why would they ever write insurance or take ownership of crappy loans?  Wouldn&#8217;t they just refuse to insure or own those?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Of course, because politicians would never allow taxpayers to be put in a position where they&#8217;d have to pony up to pay for all the mistakes that Freddie and Fannie made.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Right?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well, not exactly.  See,</span></p>
<p style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">&#8220;Fan and Fred&#8217;s patrons on Capitol Hill <strong>didn&#8217;t care about the risks</strong> inherent in their combined trillion-dollar-plus mortgage portfolios, <strong>so long as they helped meet political goals on housing</strong>.&#8221;<br />
(http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122204078161261183.html?mod=special_page_campaign2008_mostpop)</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Political goals on housing?  What&#8217;s that all about?  The federal government decided long ago to intervene in the housing market.  On </span>June 28, 1934, Franklin Delano Roosevelt signed into law the National Housing Act (NHA) of 1934, which initiated a<a href="http://mises.org/story/3544"> series of unfortunate government interventions you can read about here</a>.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Now fast forward to 1977 and enter the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Community_Reinvestment_Act">Community Reinvestment Act</a> (CRA).  The name of that bill you learned about above.  One of the big, bad culprits.</span></p>
<p style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">&#8220;The <strong>Community Reinvestment Act</strong> is a United States federal law that requires banks and savings and loan associations to offer credit throughout their entire market area. The act prohibits financial institutions from targeting only wealthier neighborhoods with their services, a practice known as &#8216;redlining.&#8217; The purpose of the CRA is to ensure that under-served populations can obtain credit, including home ownership opportunities and commercial loans to small businesses.&#8221; (<a id="kkb4" title="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Community_Reinvestment_Act" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Community_Reinvestment_Act" target="_blank">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Community_Reinvestment_Act</a> )</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Well that sounds innocent enough, you say. You don&#8217;t see any problems. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But if you look more closely it says that lenders shouldn&#8217;t be able to lend to whomever they deem to be creditworthy. They <em>have to</em> take considerations other than credit-worthiness (ability to pay back the loan) into account when they make loans.</span> So, the stage was set for some abuse.  And in 1995, we got it.</p>
<p style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">&#8220;In early 1993 <strong>President Clinton ordered</strong> new regulations for the CRA which would <strong>increase access to mortgage credit for inner city and <span style="text-decoration: underline;">distressed</span> rural communities</strong>. The new rules went into effect on January 31, 1995 and featured: requiring numerical assessments to get a satisfactory CRA rating; using federal home-loan data broken down by neighborhood, income group, and race; <strong>encouraging community groups to complain when banks were not loaning enough to specified neighborhood, income group, and race</strong>; <strong>allowing community groups that marketed loans to targeted groups </strong><strong>to collect a fee from the banks</strong>. (<a id="o458" title="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Community_Reinvestment_Act#Clinton_Administration_Changes_of_1995" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Community_Reinvestment_Act#Clinton_Administration_Changes_of_1995" target="_blank">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Community_Reinvestment_Act#Clinton_Administration_Changes_of_1995</a> )</p>
<p style="background-color: #ffffff">Robert Litan, an economist at the Brookings Institution, told the Washington Post that banks:</p>
<p style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">&#8220;had to show they were making <strong>a conscious effort to make loans to subprime borrowers</strong>&#8221; (<a id="z-0e" title="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122204078161261183.html?mod=special_page_campaign2008_mostpop" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122204078161261183.html?mod=special_page_campaign2008_mostpop" target="_blank">http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122204078161261183.html?mod=special_page_campaign2008_mostpop</a> )</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So banks had to lend to people who were not credit worthy because if they didn&#8217;t companies could complain against them.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">But who cares?  It&#8217;s not like these complaints could actually be used to blackmail the banks, right?</span></p>
<p>Wrong.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">These groups, if they filed a complaint &#8211; whether real or imaginary &#8211; could completely freeze a lender out of a neighborhood, county, city, or region, have their licenses stripped, etc.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">They&#8217;d threaten complaints against a lender and then tell the lenders that they&#8217;d only remove the complaint if the lenders paid them money and agreed to make loans to people who had no business doing it (yeah, that part about &#8220;marketing loans to targeted groups  to collect a fee from the banks&#8221;).</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Since the lender couldn&#8217;t do business until the complaint was removed, the banks caved. If they didn&#8217;t agree to make the bad loans, they&#8217;d be out of business altogether.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So these groups extorted money and blackmailed banks into making bad loans.</span></p>
<p style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">&#8220;[Clinton's CRA changes] <strong>compels banks to make loans to poor borrowers who often cannot repay them.</strong> <strong>Banks that failed to make enough of these loans were often held hostage by activists when they next sought some regulatory approval</strong>.</p>
<p style="margin-left: 40px; background-color: #ffffff">(http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122204078161261183.html?mod=special_page_campaign2008_mostpop)</p>
<p>Who were these groups and activists?</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Every heard of ACORN? </span><a id="k5:i" style="background-color: #ffffff" title="ACORN" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ACORN" target="_blank">ACORN</a><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> stands for Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now.  ACORN made a lot of money </span><strong style="background-color: #ffffff"><a id="b-bz" title="abusing this law and shaking down banks" href="http://sweetness-light.com/archive/thank-acorn-and-their-ilk-for-mortgage-crisis">abusing this law and shaking down banks</a> </strong><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">.</span></p>
<p>You heard a lot about ACORN during the election of 2008 because of Barack Obama&#8217;s affiliation with them and also because of <a href="http://voices.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/10/07/acorn_nevada_offices_raided.html" target="_blank">alleged fraud that ACORN committed in registering voters</a> for the presidential election.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Do you know what &#8220;sub-prime&#8221; means (it was used in one of the quotes above)?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">It means, &#8220;loans to people with really bad credit scores due to the fact that at some point in the past they borrowed money from people and then didn&#8217;t pay it back the way they&#8217;d promised to.&#8221;</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So groups like ACORN &#8211; with the support of the Clinton administration &#8211; created a hostage-like environment for the banks and ensured that loans were being made to subprime borrowers.  But those loans were often quickly packaged and passed on to Fannie and Freddie, where the American Taxpayer would pick up the tab if there were any problem with the loan.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">And these practices continued on into the Bush Administration.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">The reason this connection with ACORN was such a big deal is because Barack Obama at one time </span><a id="e6un" style="background-color: #ffffff" title="who trained ACORN in how to extort and blackmail" href="http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=NDZiMjkwMDczZWI5ODdjOWYxZTIzZGIyNzEyMjE0ODI=" target="_blank">trained ACORN activists</a><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> and <a id="lndf" title="funded their operations" href="http://arkansasgopwing.blogspot.com/2008/09/obama-acorn-root-causes-of-mortgage.html" target="_blank">funded their operations</a> .</span><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> And he sat on a board with </span><a id="d_d0" style="background-color: #ffffff" title="who else was involved with ACORN" href="http://www.weeklystandard.com/weblogs/TWSFP/2008/09/obama_and_bill_ayers_worked_to.asp" target="_blank">Bill Ayers</a><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"> for an organization that dispensed money to groups like ACORN.</span></p>
<p>But we&#8217;re digressing.  <span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So &#8211; back to our story &#8211; you see there were a lot of bad loans out there that &#8220;needed&#8221; to be made.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">And, you see, Freddie and Fannie helped them get made by both making loans and insuring the loans that the banks were extorted to make.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So why would politicians let them get away with it?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Because the organizations helped politicians buy votes, by putting people into bigger and better houses than their incomes justified.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Who was the person at Fannie Mae running the organization, overseeing and encouraging the buying all this crap up and then criminally cooking the books to make it look like everything was fine?</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Franklin Raines, who was in the news not only because of the accounting fraud but also because he has </span><a id="wed3" style="background-color: #ffffff" title="advises on housing policy" href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/07/15/AR2008071502827.html" target="_blank">advised Barack Obama on housing policy</a>, according to the Washington Post.</p>
<p>Another was <span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Jim Johnson, who was in the news because he oversaw the committee to </span><a id="y-0z" style="background-color: #ffffff" title="who picked him to select his vice presidential running mate" href="http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/06/the-insider.html" target="_blank">select Barack Obama&#8217;s vice presidential running mate</a><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Lots of politicians have received money from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae employees. John McCain has even accepted some, though he historically <a href="http://hotair.com/archives/2008/09/17/mccains-attempt-to-fix-fannie-mae-freddie-mac-in-2005/">fought against Freddie and Fannie</a> and <a href="http://beltwaysnark.com/2008/09/16/john-mccain-supported-a-proposal-for-an-agency-to-oversee-fannie-and-freddiein-2005/">fought to oversee them</a>.  Barack Obama </span><a id="v2i:" style="background-color: #ffffff" title="guess who took more money from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in the last two years than any other politican has (except for one) in the last twenty years" href="http://www.opensecrets.org/news/2008/09/update-fannie-mae-and-freddie.html" target="_blank">received more money from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae employees in the last two years than any other politician has (except for one) in the entire history of campaign donations</a><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">.<br />
</span></p>
<p>Those are just the two highest profile politicians but there are a lot of them who should have overseen Freddie and Fannie but had <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,432501,00.html">conflicts of interest</a>.</p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So there you have it. The corruption was allowed because the organizations not only bought off politicians but the politicians also used these organizations to buy votes.</span></p>
<p>When you get bad policy with cheap money, it&#8217;s like flame and gunpowder.  <strong>Because of the Federal Reserve, Freddie and Fannie, and bad Government Housing Policy we experienced a bust of monumental proportions.  And small businesses are suffering.</strong></p>
<p><strong>And so long as the Federal Reserve retains the ability to alter the money supply at whim and will, and manipulates interest rates, the boom-bust cycle will continue, alternately sending false signals to entrepreneurs that lead them to undertake unprofitable projects, and later crashing the economy through the resulting misallocation and adjustment.<br />
</strong></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So, to recap the above.</span></p>
<p><em style="background-color: #ffffff">Depression is caused by economic failure which is caused by markets seizing up which is caused by deflation which is caused by a bubble bursting which is caused by the misallocation of resources and inflated prices which is caused by inflation which is caused no government discipline plus government cheap money plus government intervention plus horrible government laws that were abused that is caused by pandering to voters and extorting taxpayers while simultaneously trying to stimulate an economy artificially to provide the illusion of wealth and progress.<br />
</em><br />
<span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Got it?</span></p>
<p>And another thing.<span style="background-color: #ffffff;"><strong> Government permitted an environment where corruption could flourish. </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"><strong>Our government is deep in debt.</strong> <strong>That debt has to be paid back.</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;"><strong>Who&#8217;s paying it back? We&#8217;re paying it back.  One way or another, we&#8217;re going to pay.</strong> We&#8217;ll pay now, we&#8217;ll pay later, we&#8217;ll pay for a long time, and we&#8217;ll get very little in return because the money has already been spent. </span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">The government can make money in two ways.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">It can create monopolies for itself and charge high rates while operating inefficiently, like they do with the post office.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Or it can take your money, with or without your consent, as it does through taxes.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">So, pick your poison.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">Maybe the government will take over the health care system. That&#8217;s one monopoly they&#8217;d love &#8211; but if you think the lines at the post office and DMV are bad, try waiting in one while you&#8217;re dripping blood from a head wound.</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">When considering who to elect to ANY office, the question that matters isn&#8217;t &#8220;are you a Republican or are you a Democrat&#8230;or will you give me X or Y and make me A or B promise.&#8221;</span></p>
<p><span style="background-color: #ffffff;">The only question that matters is: </span></p>
<p align="center"><span style="font-size: medium;"><strong>&#8220;Do you believe there is such a thing as a free lunch?&#8221;</strong></span></p>
<p align="center"><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;">(hint: there&#8217;s not!)</span></span></p>
<p>To learn more about the Federal Reserve and how it hurts small business, read <a href="http://www.mises.org">mises.org</a> and the book <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1596985879?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=dredav-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=390957&amp;creativeASIN=1596985879">Meltdown: A Free-Market Look at Why the Stock Market Collapsed, the Economy Tanked, and Government Bailouts Will Make Things Worse</a> by Thomas E. Woods.</p>
<p><strong><em>So now, what can you do about it?   <a href="http://bytestyle.tv/content/two-ways-keep-federal-reserve-running-scared-get-our-audit-hr-1207-s-604">Urge your State Representatives and Senators to support HR1207 and S604</a></em></strong><em><strong> .  The first step in reforming (or abolishing) the Federal Reserve is to audit it, to make it accountable, and to allow people to see its operations.</strong></em></p>
<p>Please <a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/SmallBusinessAgainstBigGovernment" target="_blank">subscribe to our RSS feed</a> and <a href="../newsletter/">our newsletter</a>, and <a href="http://www.facebook.com/sbabg" target="_blank">join our Facebook group</a>.</p>
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		<title>People want to hear an anti-bailout message</title>
		<link>http://www.sbabg.org/2009/06/09/people-want-to-hear-an-anti-bailout-message/</link>
		<comments>http://www.sbabg.org/2009/06/09/people-want-to-hear-an-anti-bailout-message/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2009 07:00:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[anti-bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[frank luntz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mark sanford]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Governor Mark Sanford's anti-bailout TV commercial resonated (off the charts) with people who self-identify as Republicans and Democrats.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Keep that in mind and don&#8217;t be afraid to share your anti-bailout sentiments with employees and co-workers.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the all the proof you need.  Governor Mark Sanford&#8217;s anti-bailout TV commercial resonated (off the charts) with people who self-identify as Republicans <em>and </em>Democrats.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ESHpf30h5vA" target="_blank">Watch the video!</a></p>
<p>Today <a href="http://www.midlandsconnect.com/news/news_story.aspx?id=310191" target="_blank">Sanford finally agreed to accept bailout funds</a> but plans to use the funds to pay down state debt.  He released the following statement:</p>
<blockquote>
<p style="text-align: left;"><span><span style="font-size: small;">The stimulus represents forcing taxpayers of tomorrow to pay for government services of today. No matter how well-intentioned it may be, borrowing from future generations who have no say in the matter is to me wrong and strikes me as being akin to the same taxation without representation that led to the formation of our republic more than two centuries ago.</span></span></p>
</blockquote>
<p style="text-align: left;">&#8212;&#8212;</p>
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